Glossary

On validation:

Temporal CV is non-negotiable - Watch for train-test gaps - Monitor production performance continuously

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NFL Analytics — Case Study: Building an ML Model That Beats Elo

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"Can Forecasters Forecast?" by Tetlock 1. Crowd Noise (0.5-1.0 points) 2. Travel Fatigue (0.3-0.8 points) 2003-2006: The Amateur Revolution 2006-2010: NFL Takes Interest 2020 Season: 2021-2023: 2023 Context:

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