Cost: $p_{YES}^{Poly} \times 1.01 + p_{NO}^{PI}$ - If YES wins: Payout from Poly = $1.00. Net = $1.00 - \text{cost}$. - If NO wins: Payout from PI = $1.00 - 0.10 \times (1.00 - p_{NO}^{PI})$. Net = Payout $- \text{cost}$.