Glossary

Post-game:

Margin multiplier: 2.8 (large margin but expected favorite) - Rating change: +22 Elo - New rating: 1641

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NFL Analytics — Case Study: Tracking the 2023 49ers Through Elo

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"Can Forecasters Forecast?" by Tetlock 1. Crowd Noise (0.5-1.0 points) 2. Travel Fatigue (0.3-0.8 points) 2003-2006: The Amateur Revolution 2006-2010: NFL Takes Interest 2020 Season: 2021-2023: 2023 Context:

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