Sharp vs Public Money
Intermediate
10 min read
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Nov 28, 2025
Sharp vs Recreational Bettors
Sharp bettors (pros) move lines. Public money creates opportunities.
Identifying Sharp Action
- Large bets placed early in the week
- Line movement despite low ticket percentage
- Simultaneous moves across multiple books
Fading the Public
When heavy public action on one side, consider the other. Works best in primetime games.
Contrarian Betting
Systematically betting against public favorites can be profitable in specific situations.
Discussion
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