Appendix A — The Master Peptide Evidence Table
Every evidence rating in this book, in one place, alphabetical by compound.
Chapter 37 groups the same ratings by therapeutic area, because Chapter 37 is making an argument and the grouping is part of it. This appendix is not making an argument. It is a lookup table, built for the reader who arrives holding a name — tesamorelin, TB-500, linaclotide — and wants the verdict in ten seconds. If you want the reasoning, Chapter 37 has it. If you want the method that produced the reasoning, Chapter 5 has that. This page has the answers and their chapter numbers.
A.1 How to use this table
The tables below reproduce 154 ratings — 140 attached to molecules or indications, 14 attached to claim forms. Ten of them are split ratings shown with a slash, and four are claims the book explicitly declines to rate. They are stated as the source chapters state them, with the same wording, the same qualifiers, and the same split verdicts. Nothing has been rounded off to make a compound look better or worse than its chapter found it.
All of them are dated to 2026.
Four cautions, and the first one is the one that will actually change how you use this page.
A rating attaches to a claim, not to a molecule. This is rating rule 6 and it is the reason the table is built one row per claim rather than one row per compound. Semaglutide occupies nine rows. They are not nine opinions about semaglutide; they are nine different questions, and the answers run from ✅ through ⚠️ to 🔬. Desmopressin occupies three, BPC-157 three, and oxytocin four — and in oxytocin's case one of those rows is among the most secure ratings in the book while another is ❌. So before you take a verdict away from here, check that the row's population and endpoint match the question you came in with. Does oxytocin work? has no answer. Does intravenous oxytocin in a supervised obstetric setting produce uterine contraction sufficient to induce labor? has a very firm one. If the row you are reading names a population you are not in, or an endpoint you do not care about, you have found a rating — just not yours.
These ratings are date-stamped, and they will age. Each is a statement about the evidence available as of 2026, not a permanent property of the compound. Some will move up: the ⚠️ and 🔬 rows are mostly waiting on trials that are running now. Some will move down, which happens more often than people expect — calcitonin's fracture claim and intranasal oxytocin for autism are both in this table as downgrades, ratings that were higher once and fell as better evidence arrived. If you are reading this some years after it was written, treat every row as a starting position and check what has been published since. The rows that tell you what would change them, in the source chapters, are the ones that tell you what to go look for.
This table is a snapshot. Chapter 5's method is the durable thing. The single most useful outcome of reading this book is not memorizing which compounds got which symbols. It is being able to generate the rating yourself for a compound that is not on this page — to ask what the claim is, in whom, measured how, against what, and on what evidence, and to notice when the answer is nobody has checked. A reader who has the method does not need the table. A reader who has only the table will be stranded the first time someone mentions a molecule invented after 2026, which will be soon.
Absence from this table means the book did not rate it — not that it is unrated in the world, and certainly not that it is safe or effective. This is not a comprehensive registry of peptides. It is the set of claims this book examined, chosen because they illustrate something, because they are widely made, or because a reader is likely to meet them. Thousands of compounds are sold that appear nowhere here. Their absence carries no information at all, and reading it as a quiet endorsement is the exact inversion of what the empty space means.
One last note on scope. Nothing here is medical advice, nothing here contains dosing or protocol information, and nothing here tells you where to obtain anything. A ✅ says that a claim is well supported by evidence. It does not say the drug is right for a person, which is a different question belonging to that person and their clinician.
A.2 The four tiers, in one screen
✅ Strong clinical evidence. Adequately powered, well-designed human trials — usually more than one, usually randomized and controlled — have tested this claim in this population and found the effect. Regulatory approval, guideline inclusion, and a characterized adverse effect profile typically accompany it. A ✅ is bounded by the claim it attaches to and travels nowhere else.
⚠️ Promising but preliminary. Real human data exists and does not settle the question. This tier covers several distinct situations: small or short trials, surrogate endpoints rather than outcomes, Phase 2 results awaiting Phase 3, literatures that disagree with themselves, and literatures that are genuinely hard for a reader to reach and assess. A ⚠️ can read like a ✅ — retatrutide's weight number is larger than tirzepatide's approved one — and the tier is the warning that the number is sitting on a weaker footing than its size suggests.
❌ Hype outpaces evidence. The claim, as it is usually stated, is not supported. Note what this does not mean: it is not a statement that the molecule does nothing, and it is not a moral verdict on anyone who has used it. ❌ describes the state of the evidence, not the state of the molecule. It also arrives in two very different flavors, which §A.3 is about.
🔬 Frontier — too soon to rate. Serious science is proceeding properly through the ordinary sequence and has not yet produced a clinical answer. 🔬 is not a polite ❌ and not a soft ⚠️; it is what an early, well-conducted field is supposed to look like. It carries no probability of success. Most 🔬 becomes ❌, and saying so is part of using the tier honestly.
The six rating rules, compactly:
- A rating attaches to a claim — and a claim can be an argument or a form of words as easily as it can be a molecule.
- ❌ describes the evidence, not the molecule — nor the person who tried it.
- Never upgrade with mechanism. A plausible pathway is a reason to run a trial, not a substitute for one.
- Never downgrade with distaste. A claim that is annoying, commercially motivated, or aesthetically silly still gets rated on its evidence.
- Falsifiability first. A claim that no result could contradict is not weakly supported; it is unrateable, and saying so is the rating.
- One molecule, many ratings. The most-violated rule in every source you will read, and the reason this table has 140 molecule rows for far fewer molecules.
A.3 The two kinds of ❌
There are 50 ❌ ratings below and they are not all the same kind of thing. The difference matters more than the difference between two adjacent tiers, and readers get it backwards with remarkable consistency.
❌ evidence ABSENT. No adequate human trial was ever run, so the claim is unsupported and untested. Nobody knows. The compound might work; the compound might be harmful; the compound might do nothing. What is established is only that the question has not been asked in a way that could answer it — and often that no human safety data exists either. BPC-157 is the standing example. Three rows below, three ❌s, and behind all of them a substantial and genuine body of rodent work with no completed randomized human trial to translate it. Most of Part III sits here.
❌ evidence PRESENT AND NEGATIVE. Proper trials were run, in the right population, with prespecified endpoints, and they answered no. Nesiritide is the clean cardiovascular case: it was approved on hemodynamic surrogates, a large randomized outcome trial of roughly 7,100 patients followed, and it found no meaningful effect on death or rehospitalization. NK1 receptor antagonists for depression and chronic pain is the clean neuropsychiatric case: multiple adequately powered trials, across several structurally distinct compounds and sponsors, failed to beat placebo — with human PET data confirming the drugs were occupying the target receptor at the doses tested. The experiment was done. The answer arrived.
The second is a far stronger state of knowledge, and readers routinely treat it as the weaker one. A molecule that failed a trial is better understood than a molecule that never entered one. We know something about nesiritide that we do not know about anything in Part III. But the market rewards the opposite: a compound with disappointing trials is hard to sell, and a compound with no trials at all is easy, because there is nothing to argue with. Chapter 21 puts it plainly and it is worth carrying out of this appendix — the absence of a negative result is not the same as the absence of a problem, and it is usually the absence of anyone looking.
In the master table, rows the source chapters explicitly identify as present-and-negative are marked ❌ present & negative. An unmarked ❌ should be read as the absent kind unless the chapter says otherwise.
A note on the slash. Ten ratings in the master table carry two symbols separated by a slash —
⚠️ / ❌, ✅ / ⚠️, ⚠️ / 🔬. These are not indecision, and they must not be collapsed to a single
tier. A split marks a claim whose verdict changes with how strongly the claim is stated or in which
population it is asserted: GHK-Cu is ⚠️ for the modest instrument-measured effect and ❌ for the
strong marketing version; insulin analogs are ✅ for nocturnal and severe hypoglycemia in type 1
diabetes and ⚠️ for broader superiority claims in type 2. That is rating rule 1 doing visible work
inside a single row — the rating is attached to the claim, and when the claim comes in two
strengths, so does the rating. A few splits also record a downgrade over time, a verdict that was
higher once and fell as better evidence arrived; calcitonin's fracture claim and intranasal oxytocin
for autism are both of that kind, and their cells say so.
A.4 The master table
140 ratings, alphabetical by compound. Where a compound carries several ratings they occupy adjacent rows under the same name, which makes rule 6 visible without anyone having to argue for it. Look at semaglutide, at oxytocin, at desmopressin, at BPC-157, at growth hormone, at the NK1 antagonists: the spread inside a single name is the whole point.
A handful of rows are not molecules. The book rates label claims and inference forms inside its molecule chapters — "pharmaceutical grade," "third-party tested," "nobody has reported problems," "used in animals for years," "this peptide is a nootropic" — and those are filed here at their alphabetical positions rather than moved, because that is where the harvest puts them. Section A.5 holds a further fourteen ratings of this kind. And four rows are not ratings at all — they carry NOT RATED, and they are collected and explained in §A.6.
Columns: Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch
A
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Acetyl hexapeptide-8 (Argireline) | Topical acetyl hexapeptide-8 reduces facial expression lines in healthy adults by an effect comparable to injected botulinum toxin — i.e., functions as an alternative to injection | ❌ | 30 |
| Afamelanotide | Increases pain-free light exposure in adults with erythropoietic protoporphyria | ✅ | 24 |
| Affiliate disclosure (sponsored health content) | Among general audiences viewing sponsored health content, a standard affiliate disclosure eliminates the biasing effect of the sponsor relationship on viewers' subsequent treatment decisions | ❌ | 42 |
| Allergy immunotherapy, peptide-based | Reduces allergic symptoms in patients with IgE-mediated allergy | ⚠️ | 26 |
| AlphaFold-class structure prediction | Is a transformative research tool | ✅ | 35 |
| Amylin analogs, long-acting (cagrilintide; with semaglutide) | Long-acting amylin analogs, alone or combined with semaglutide, produce clinically meaningful weight loss | ⚠️ | 13 |
| Antimicrobial peptides | Cannot generate bacterial resistance, because membrane disruption is not a mutable target | ❌ present & negative | 25 |
| Antimicrobial peptides, systemic | Will provide a new class of broad-spectrum systemic antibiotics for drug-resistant bacterial infections in humans | 🔬 | 25 |
| Antimicrobial peptides, topical | Topical antimicrobial peptide preparations can prevent or treat localized bacterial infection in specific applications | ⚠️ | 25 |
Aprepitant: see NK1 receptor antagonists under N. Argireline: see Acetyl hexapeptide-8 above. Abaloparatide and other approved molecules without a rating in this book appear in Appendix E.
B
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| BNP / NT-proBNP (diagnostic test) | Measuring BNP or NT-proBNP aids the diagnosis of heart failure — particularly its exclusion — in adults presenting with undifferentiated breathlessness | ✅ | 28 |
| Botulinum toxin type A | Injected into the target muscles of healthy adults, produces a temporary reduction in the appearance of glabellar lines and other approved cosmetic indications | ✅ | 30 |
| Botulinum toxin type A | Injected per approved protocols, is effective for approved medical indications including chronic migraine, cervical dystonia, spasticity, and severe primary axillary hyperhidrosis | ✅ | 30 |
| BPC-157 | Accelerates healing of tendon and soft-tissue injuries in humans | ❌ | 5 |
| BPC-157 | Protects the human gastrointestinal tract against damage from NSAIDs, alcohol, or inflammatory disease | ❌ | 17 |
| BPC-157 | Accelerates healing of tendon and soft-tissue injuries in humans | ❌ | 17 |
| Brand-name genericization | Genericization of a brand name — one brand name coming to stand for an entire drug class — produces measurable harm to patient-prescriber communication and to medication-history accuracy | ⚠️ | 41 |
| Bremelanotide (PT-141) | Improves sexual desire and reduces desire-related distress in premenopausal women meeting criteria for acquired, generalized hypoactive sexual desire disorder | ✅ | 24 |
| Bremelanotide (PT-141) | Improves sexual function in men, or in postmenopausal women | ❌ for the claim as marketed | 24 |
The three BPC-157 rows are the book's reference case for §A.3's first kind of ❌: the animal literature is real and the human question is genuinely open.
C
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calcitonin (salmon) | Salmon calcitonin, nasal or injectable, meaningfully reduces osteoporotic fracture risk in postmenopausal women | ⚠️ / ❌ — a downgrade over time; ❌ as of this writing | 29 |
| Cancer vaccines, therapeutic (historical class) | Therapeutic cancer vaccines, as a general historical class, improve survival in patients with established solid tumors | ⚠️ / ❌ — stated by the chapter as "❌ to ⚠️," moving upward as individual confirmatory successes accumulate | 26 |
| Cerebrolysin | Improves functional or cognitive outcomes in acute ischemic stroke, or in vascular dementia and Alzheimer's disease | ⚠️ | 23 |
| CGRP-targeting therapies | Anti-CGRP and anti-CGRP-receptor monoclonal antibodies, and small-molecule CGRP receptor antagonists, reduce migraine frequency in adults with episodic or chronic migraine | ✅ | 22 |
| CJC-1295 + ipamorelin | Improves body composition, recovery, or function in healthy adults | ⚠️ / ❌ — the surrogate (growth hormone release) claim is supported; the outcome claim is ❌ | 15 |
| CNP analog | A CNP analog increases annualized growth velocity in children with achondroplasia over one year of treatment | ✅ | 28 |
| Colistin | Is an effective treatment option for infections caused by multidrug-resistant Gram-negative organisms when other agents are unavailable or inactive | ✅ | 25 |
Cagrilintide: see Amylin analogs, long-acting under A. Copper tripeptide-1: see GHK-Cu under G.
Read the CNP analog's endpoint exactly as written. The ✅ covers annualized growth velocity over one year — how fast a child grows during treatment — and nothing beyond it. Chapter 28 is explicit that final adult height and any health or functional outcome are separate claims resting on long-term follow-up that is still accumulating, and they do not inherit this row's symbol.
D
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daptomycin | Is effective for its approved indications — complicated skin and skin structure infections, and S. aureus bloodstream infection including right-sided endocarditis | ✅ | 25 |
| De novo designed peptide binders | Are effective therapeutics | 🔬 | 35 |
| Desmopressin | Corrects the polyuria and polydipsia of central diabetes insipidus (arginine vasopressin deficiency) | ✅ | 21 |
| Desmopressin | Corrects polyuria and restores urinary concentrating ability in patients with central diabetes insipidus | ✅ | 29 |
| Desmopressin | Reduces the number of wet nights in children with primary nocturnal enuresis | ✅ | 29 |
| Dihexa / P21 | Improves cognition in humans, healthy or impaired | ❌ | 23 |
| Direct-to-consumer telehealth prescribing | Among adults who lack convenient access to relevant specialist care, direct-to-consumer telehealth prescribing increases the proportion who receive appropriate, guideline-concordant treatment | ⚠️ | 42 |
Degarelix: see GnRH antagonists under G. DL-phenylalanine: see Endorphin supplements, oral under E.
Three desmopressin rows, three ✅s, and they are not the same ✅. Same molecule, same receptor, same mechanism — different population, endpoint, evidence base, and durability. Central diabetes insipidus is a permanent physiological correction with an immediately measurable endpoint. Nocturnal enuresis is a symptomatic treatment whose rating is deliberately narrow: it covers reduction in wet nights during treatment, not cure, and not durable benefit after stopping, for which the evidence is weaker and relapse is well recognized. A source that told you "desmopressin: ✅" would have compressed that difference away, which is exactly what rule 6 exists to prevent and exactly what one row per claim is for.
E
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Endogenous opioid peptides | Mediate a substantial component of placebo analgesia in adult humans with acute or postoperative pain | ✅ | 20 |
| Endorphin supplements, oral | Orally administered "endorphin" or "endorphin-boosting" supplements — including DL-phenylalanine marketed as an enkephalinase inhibitor — produce clinically meaningful analgesia or mood benefit in adults | ❌ | 20 |
| Endorphins | Endorphins cause the runner's high — that is, endogenous opioid peptides are the primary mediator of the euphoric, analgesic mood state that follows prolonged intense exercise in healthy adults | ⚠️ | 20 |
| Enhancement — coercion | An enhancement adopted widely enough within a positional contest becomes effectively coercive for non-adopters | ⚠️ | 43 |
| Enhancement — inevitability | Enhancement is inevitable | NOT RATED — see §A.6 | 43 |
| Enhancement — peptide | Peptide enhancement — specifically the growth-hormone-axis and muscle-directed compounds of Part III — produces meaningful performance benefit in healthy trained adults | ❌ | 43 |
| Enhancement — sanctioned and supervised | Sanctioned, supervised enhancement produces better safety outcomes than an unregulated black market for the same compounds | ⚠️ | 43 |
Three of these four rows are rateable empirical claims about a population and an outcome. The fourth — inevitability — is a prediction about aggregate future human behavior, which is not that kind of claim at all, and Chapter 43 declines to rate it. See §A.6.
F
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fatty-acid acylation (albumin binding) | Fatty-acid acylation that promotes reversible albumin binding substantially extends the plasma half-life of peptide drugs | ✅ | 33 |
| Follistatin-344 / myostatin inhibitors | Follistatin-344, or myostatin inhibitors generally, increase muscle mass, strength, or performance in healthy trained adults | ❌ present & negative | 16 |
| Food industry product change | Widespread GLP-1 receptor agonist use will meaningfully change the products the packaged food industry sells — measured as shifts in portion size, protein and fiber content, and product mix — in high-adoption markets | 🔬 | 44 |
The Follistatin-344 row is marked present-and-negative by extension: the relevant human trials were run in disease populations, increased lean mass, and failed on function — a result that argues against the healthy-adult claim rather than merely leaving it unaddressed. For the disease-population claim itself, see Myostatin / follistatin pathway inhibitors under M.
G
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| GHK-Cu (copper tripeptide-1) | Topically applied GHK-Cu meaningfully improves the appearance of aging skin | ⚠️ / ❌ — ⚠️ for modest instrument-measured effects; ❌ for the strong marketing version | 6 |
| GHK-Cu (copper tripeptide-1) | Topical GHK-Cu, applied to intact facial skin in healthy adults, improves the appearance of aging skin | ⚠️ / ❌ — ⚠️ for modest instrument-measured effects; ❌ for the strong marketing version | 30 |
| GLP-1 "boosting" supplements | Dietary supplements that raise endogenous GLP-1 produce weight loss comparable to, or meaningfully approaching, GLP-1 receptor agonist therapy | ❌ | 13 |
| GLP-1, native | Native GLP-1, administered as such, is a viable treatment for type 2 diabetes or obesity | ❌ (on delivery grounds, not efficacy grounds) | 7 |
| GLP-1 receptor agonists (mechanism) | Act by binding and activating the GLP-1 receptor, a G-protein-coupled receptor, producing amplified intracellular signaling | ✅ (mechanistic only) | 2 |
| GLP-1 receptor agonists (addiction) | Reduce alcohol consumption, smoking, or other addictive behaviors | 🔬 | 10 |
| GLP-1 receptor agonists (visual identification) | GLP-1 receptor agonist use can be identified in an individual by looking at their face | ❌ | 41 |
| GLP-1 receptor agonists (attention and access) | Public attention to GLP-1 receptor agonists has increased appropriate access to these drugs for people who meet approved indications | ⚠️ | 41 |
| GLP-1 receptor agonists (price) | Will become substantially cheaper in high-income markets as exclusivity ends and competitors enter | ⚠️ for the direction; timeline and magnitude unrated | 44 |
| Glucagon | Administered by a bystander, raises blood glucose and reverses severe hypoglycemia in a person with insulin-treated diabetes who is unable to self-treat | ✅ | 29 |
| GnRH agonists | Leuprolide, goserelin, triptorelin and relatives produce androgen deprivation and improve clinical outcomes in hormone-sensitive prostate cancer | ✅ | 27 |
| GnRH agonists (veterinary) | Produce effective, reversible suppression or control of reproductive function in the veterinary species and indications for which they are approved | ✅ | 31 |
| GnRH antagonists | Degarelix (peptide) and relugolix (nonpeptide oral) achieve androgen deprivation in prostate cancer without an initial testosterone flare | ✅ | 27 |
| Growth hormone (somatropin) | Growth hormone replacement improves growth outcomes in children with documented growth hormone deficiency, and improves body composition, bone mineral density, lipid profile, and quality of life in adults with documented growth hormone deficiency | ✅ | 14 |
| Growth hormone (somatropin) | Growth hormone administered to healthy adults without documented growth hormone deficiency slows or reverses aging, or produces meaningful improvements in strength, function, healthspan, or well-being | ❌ | 14 |
| Growth-hormone-releasing peptides | Improve strength, body composition, recovery, or athletic performance in humans, on the basis of livestock growth-promotion research | ❌ | 31 |
GHRP-2 and GHRP-6: see Sermorelin, GHRP-2, GHRP-6 under S. Goserelin and triptorelin: see GnRH agonists above.
The two growth hormone rows are the cleanest demonstration in this table of why rule 6 exists. Same molecule, same axis, adjacent rows, opposite verdicts — and the entire difference is whether the population has a documented deficiency. Any source that gives you a single verdict on "growth hormone" has thrown away the only thing you needed to know.
I
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Icatibant | Relieves acute attacks of hereditary angioedema in adults | ✅ | 29 |
| IGF-1 / IGF-1 LR3 | Increases muscle mass, strength, or athletic performance in healthy adults | ❌ | 16 |
| "Immune modulation" (general claim, Chapter 18 compounds) | "Immune modulation" — as a general claim, for any compound in this chapter, in the form in which it is typically stated | ❌ | 18 |
| Insulin analogs | Reduce hypoglycemia compared with human insulin | ✅ / ⚠️ — ✅ for nocturnal and severe hypoglycemia in type 1 diabetes; ⚠️ for broader claims of superiority in type 2 diabetes | 11 |
| Insulin delivery, automated (closed-loop) | Automated insulin delivery systems improve glycemic control and reduce hypoglycemia in type 1 diabetes | ✅ | 11 |
Ibutamoren: see MK-677 under M. Ipamorelin: see CJC-1295 + ipamorelin under C. The "immune modulation" row is a rating of a form of words, not of a molecule: it specifies no immune arm, no direction, no endpoint, and no population, which makes it compatible with every possible result and supportable by none.
Icatibant's ✅ is for acute attacks of hereditary angioedema, a rare disease with a precisely identified mediator. Chapter 29 notes that the drug has been studied in other conditions involving bradykinin-mediated swelling with results that did not repeat this success — a ✅ earned against one precisely identified mediator does not travel to a different disease with a superficially similar mechanism.
K
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kisspeptin / kisspeptin analogs | Are effective treatments for reproductive or sexual disorders | 🔬 | 24 |
| KPV and larazotide | Produce clinically meaningful benefit in the inflammatory and intestinal-barrier conditions for which they are being investigated | 🔬 | 18 |
L
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lean-mass preservation (during weight loss) | Pharmacological prevention of lean mass loss during weight loss improves functional outcomes — strength, mobility, falls, independence — in adults losing substantial weight on GLP-1-based therapy | 🔬 | 36 |
| Leptin (metreleptin) | Recombinant leptin normalizes appetite and reduces weight in individuals with congenital leptin deficiency | ✅ | 13 |
| Leptin | Leptin administration produces meaningful weight loss in adults with common obesity | ❌ present & negative | 13 |
| Linaclotide | Improves abdominal pain and bowel symptoms in adults with constipation-predominant irritable bowel syndrome, and improves bowel frequency in chronic idiopathic constipation | ✅ | 29 |
| Lutetium Lu 177 dotatate (PRRT) | Prolongs progression-free survival in adults with progressive, well-differentiated, somatostatin-receptor-positive midgut neuroendocrine tumors | ✅ | 27 |
| Lutetium Lu 177 vipivotide tetraxetan (PSMA radioligand) | PSMA-targeted radioligand therapy improves outcomes in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer with PSMA-positive lesions on PET imaging, after prior androgen-receptor-pathway inhibition and taxane chemotherapy | ✅ | 27 |
Larazotide: see KPV and larazotide under K. Leuprolide: see GnRH agonists under G. The two leptin rows are the table's tidiest ✅/❌ pair, and the reason is the population: total deficiency responds to replacement, and common obesity — in which circulating leptin is already elevated — does not.
M
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mass spectrometry (peptide identity) | Mass spectrometry, including tandem MS, is a valid method for establishing the identity of a synthetic peptide | ✅ | 34 |
| Mecasermin (recombinant IGF-1) | Improves growth in children with severe primary IGF-1 deficiency | ✅ | 16 |
| Melanotan II | Is a safe and effective way to achieve cosmetic skin tanning | ❌ | 24 |
| MK-677 (ibutamoren) | Improves body composition in healthy adults | ⚠️ | 15 |
| Myostatin / follistatin pathway inhibitors | Improve muscle function in people with muscular dystrophies and related muscle-wasting diseases | ⚠️ | 16 |
Matrixyl: see Palmitoyl pentapeptide-4 under P. Metreleptin: see Leptin under L.
N
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAD+ precursors | Supplementation with NAD+ precursors extends healthspan or produces meaningful functional benefit in humans | ⚠️ / ❌ — ⚠️ overall, trending toward ❌ for the strong version of the claim | 6 |
| Neoantigen vaccines, individualized | Improve clinical outcomes (recurrence-free or overall survival) in patients with solid tumors | 🔬 | 26 |
| Nesiritide | Infused nesiritide (recombinant human BNP) improves clinical outcomes — death or rehospitalization — in adults hospitalized with acute decompensated heart failure | ❌ present & negative | 28 |
| Neuropeptide Y | Supplementing or "boosting" neuropeptide Y improves stress resilience in healthy adults | ❌ | 22 |
| NK1 receptor antagonists | Aprepitant and relatives prevent chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting in patients receiving emetogenic chemotherapy | ✅ | 22 |
| NK1 receptor antagonists | Relieve chronic pain or treat major depressive disorder | ❌ present & negative | 22 |
| "Nobody has reported problems" (source-safety inference) | Nobody has reported any problems with this source, so the product is safe | ❌ | 19 |
| "Nootropic" (unspecified) | "This peptide is a nootropic" — offered without further specification | ❌ | 23 |
| NT-proBNP-guided titration | Titrating heart failure therapy toward an NT-proBNP target improves clinical outcomes in chronic HFrEF, compared with usual guideline-directed care | ❌ present & negative | 28 |
Four of the nine rows in this letter are present-and-negative ❌s, which makes N the densest concentration of genuine knowledge in the table. Nesiritide, NK1 antagonists for depression, and biomarker-guided titration were all tested properly and all came back no. That is a far better epistemic position than the untested compounds elsewhere in this table, and it is why those three are almost never marketed while the untested ones are.
O
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Obesity, societal framing of | Society should treat obesity primarily as a medical condition to be pharmacologically managed, rather than primarily as a product of a food environment to be structurally changed | NOT RATED — see §A.6 | 44 |
| Oral peptide delivery (absorption enhancers) | Oral peptide delivery via absorption enhancers works as a general solution to the oral peptide problem | ⚠️ as a general solution | 36 |
| Orexin receptor antagonists, dual | Suvorexant and successors improve sleep onset and maintenance in adults with insomnia | ✅ | 22 |
| Orforglipron | An oral small-molecule GLP-1 receptor agonist, produces clinically meaningful weight loss and glycemic control | ⚠️ | 9 |
| Oxytocin | Intravenous oxytocin, administered in a supervised obstetric setting, produces uterine contraction sufficient to induce or augment labor and to prevent and treat postpartum hemorrhage due to uterine atony | ✅ | 21 |
| Oxytocin | "Oxytocin is the love hormone" — that is, oxytocin's function is to produce affection, trust, and bonding, such that increasing oxytocin increases these states | ❌ | 21 |
| Oxytocin, intranasal | Improves social communication and related core outcomes in children and adolescents with autism spectrum disorder | ⚠️ / ❌ — downgraded; ❌ as of this writing, present & negative | 21 |
| Oxytocin, intranasal | Improves symptoms in social anxiety disorder or PTSD, or enhances prosocial functioning in healthy adults | ❌ | 21 |
Octreotide: see Somatostatin analogs under S. The four oxytocin rows are worth reading as a block. One is among the most secure ratings in the book. One is a rejected characterization. One is a downgrade driven by larger and better trials. One covers three separate populations that did not assemble into an indication. A single verdict on "oxytocin" would be false four different ways at once.
P
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmitoyl pentapeptide-4 (Matrixyl) | Topical palmitoyl pentapeptide-4, applied to the face of healthy adults with photoaged or age-related facial lines, produces a visible reduction in wrinkles | ⚠️ | 30 |
| Peptide-drug conjugates (oncology class) | As a general therapeutic class, deliver cytotoxic payloads selectively enough to improve outcomes in solid or hematologic malignancies | ⚠️ / 🔬 — ⚠️ for the class, shading to 🔬 for most specific constructs | 27 |
| Peptide-drug conjugates (platform claim) | Work as a general targeted-delivery platform across indications and payload types | 🔬 | 36 |
| Peptide–MHC antigen presentation (mechanism) | Adaptive immune recognition operates by T-cell receptors engaging short peptide epitopes presented on MHC/HLA molecules | ✅ (mechanistic; settled immunology) | 26 |
| "Pharmaceutical grade" (quality designation) | "Pharmaceutical grade," as applied to a research-chemical peptide product, is a meaningful quality designation | ❌ | 32 |
| Pramlintide | Added to mealtime insulin, improves postprandial glucose control and produces modest weight reduction in insulin-treated diabetes | ✅ | 13 |
| Pricing of peptide drugs | The price of peptide drugs is explained by their manufacturing cost | ❌ | 32 |
| Public-figure disclosure | Public figures have an ethical obligation to disclose their use of GLP-1 receptor agonists | NOT RATED — see §A.6 | 41 |
| Purity certificate ("98% by HPLC") | A certificate stating "98% purity by HPLC" establishes that the vial contains 98% of the labeled peptide by mass | ❌ | 32 |
PT-141: see Bremelanotide under B. PRRT: see Lutetium Lu 177 dotatate under L. P21: see Dihexa / P21 under D. PSMA radioligand therapy: see Lutetium Lu 177 vipivotide tetraxetan under L.
Chapter 41 treats the public-figure disclosure claim as a case study in how an "ought" statement gets mistaken for an empirical one. It carries no tier; §A.6 explains why, and why that refusal is not a fifth tier.
R
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recommendation systems (platform distribution) | Among health claims circulating on engagement-optimized platforms, the recommendation system preferentially distributes the better-evidenced claim — that is, distribution correlates positively with evidential support | ❌ | 42 |
| Retatrutide | Produces substantial weight loss in adults with obesity | ⚠️ | 9 |
Retatrutide is the book's standing example of a ⚠️ that reads like a ✅. Its number is larger than tirzepatide's approved-drug number, which makes it feel stronger, and it sits on a much weaker evidentiary footing. See also Triple agonists under T, which rates the same compound class on the same endpoint from Chapter 36's vantage point.
S
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacubitril/valsartan | Reduces cardiovascular death and heart failure hospitalization in adults with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, compared with enalapril | ✅ | 28 |
| Semaglutide | Semaglutide 2.4 mg weekly produces substantial, sustained weight loss in adults with obesity or overweight with a weight-related comorbidity, alongside lifestyle support | ✅ | 5 |
| Semaglutide | In adults with established cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity but without diabetes, semaglutide 2.4 mg weekly reduces major adverse cardiovascular events | ✅ | 5 |
| Semaglutide | Semaglutide 2.4 mg weekly produces substantial, sustained weight loss in adults with obesity, or overweight with a weight-related comorbidity, alongside lifestyle support, for as long as treatment continues | ✅ | 8 |
| Semaglutide | Improves glycemic control in adults with type 2 diabetes | ✅ | 8 |
| Semaglutide | Semaglutide 2.4 mg reduces major adverse cardiovascular events in adults with established cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity, without diabetes | ✅ | 8 |
| Semaglutide | Slows progression of chronic kidney disease in adults with type 2 diabetes and established kidney disease | ✅ | 10 |
| Semaglutide | Improves metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis | ⚠️, trending favorable | 10 |
| Semaglutide | Improves symptoms and physical function in adults with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and obesity | ⚠️ | 10 |
| Semaglutide | Slows cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease | 🔬 | 10 |
| Semaglutide, compounded | Compounded semaglutide is equivalent to the branded product | ❌ | 12 |
| Semax / Selank | Semax improves cognitive performance, or Selank reduces anxiety, in adults, evaluated in Western evidentiary terms | ⚠️ | 23 |
| Sermorelin, GHRP-2, GHRP-6 | Deliver the popular claims made for them — improved body composition, recovery, sleep, or anti-aging benefit in healthy adults | ❌ | 15 |
| Setmelanotide | Reduces weight and hyperphagia in individuals with obesity due to specified genetic deficiencies in the leptin–melanocortin pathway | ✅ | 13 |
| Small molecules at class B GPCRs | Non-peptide small molecules can serve as a viable therapeutic route at peptide-binding class B GPCRs such as the GLP-1 receptor, delivering comparable clinical effect with oral dosing | ⚠️ | 33 |
| Solid-phase peptide synthesis | As introduced by Merrifield in 1963, is the enabling technology for the modern peptide field — both the approved drugs and the unregulated market | ✅ (historical and technical) | 32 |
| Somatostatin analogs | Octreotide and lanreotide control the flushing and diarrhea of carcinoid syndrome in patients with hormone-secreting neuroendocrine tumors | ✅ | 27 |
| Somatostatin analogs | Delay radiographic tumor progression (antiproliferative effect) in well-differentiated metastatic gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors | ✅ | 27 |
| Sponsorship as a predictor | For an individual creator, the presence of an affiliate or sponsorship relationship predicts that the specific health claims they make are inaccurate | ❌ | 42 |
| Stapled peptides (hydrocarbon stapling) | Hydrocarbon stapling achieves meaningful intracellular (cytosolic) delivery of peptides at concentrations sufficient to engage intracellular targets in humans | ⚠️ | 33 |
Selank: see Semax / Selank above. Somatropin: see Growth hormone under G. Suvorexant: see Orexin receptor antagonists, dual under O.
Ten semaglutide rows, four tiers. This is the single best argument in the book for reading the claim column before the rating column. Weight loss, glycemic control, and cardiovascular risk in a defined population are ✅. Kidney disease in a defined population is ✅. Steatohepatitis and preserved ejection fraction heart failure are ⚠️ because their endpoints are surrogates or symptom scores. Alzheimer's is 🔬. And the compounded-equivalence claim — which is not a claim about the drug at all, but about a category of products — is ❌.
The cardiovascular claim appears twice, from Chapters 5 and 8, because Chapter 5 uses it to teach the rating format and Chapter 8 uses it to make the clinical case. Both rows carry the same restriction, and it is the restriction that matters: established cardiovascular disease. People without it were not studied, and neither ✅ extends to them.
T
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB-500 | Improves tissue repair or accelerates recovery from musculoskeletal injury in humans | ❌ | 18 |
| TB-500 | The marketed thymosin β4 fragment accelerates tendon, ligament, or muscle repair in humans, on the basis of its use in horses | ❌ | 31 |
| Teriparatide | Given by daily subcutaneous injection, increases bone mineral density and reduces vertebral fracture risk in postmenopausal women with severe osteoporosis or high assessed fracture risk | ✅ | 29 |
| Tesamorelin | Reduces excess visceral abdominal fat in adults with HIV-associated lipodystrophy | ✅ | 15 |
| "Third-party tested" (product claim) | This product is third-party tested, which means it contains what the label says | ❌ | 19 |
| Thymosin alpha-1 | Produces clinically meaningful immunomodulatory effects in defined patient populations with compromised immune function (for example, chronic hepatitis B) | ⚠️ | 18 |
| Tirzepatide | Produces substantial weight loss in adults with obesity, or overweight with a weight-related comorbidity, without diabetes, alongside lifestyle support, for as long as treatment continues | ✅ | 9 |
| Tirzepatide | Improves glycemic control in adults with type 2 diabetes | ✅ | 9 |
| Tirzepatide | Reduces apnea-hypopnea index in adults with moderate-to-severe obstructive sleep apnea and obesity | ✅ | 10 |
| Topical peptides (ingredient category) | Topical peptides, as an ingredient category, produce visible anti-aging benefit in healthy adults using cosmetic formulations on intact skin | ⚠️ / ❌ — depending on the specific claim; ⚠️ for modest instrument-measured effects, ❌ for the structural claims most marketing implies | 30 |
| Triple agonists (e.g. retatrutide) | Produce clinically meaningful weight loss in adults with obesity | ⚠️ | 36 |
Thymosin β4: see TB-500 above. Triptorelin: see GnRH agonists under G.
Set tesamorelin against the other growth-hormone-axis entries. It is the one compound in that neighborhood with a ✅, and the reason is not that the molecule is better — it is that somebody ran randomized placebo-controlled trials with an imaging-based primary endpoint in a named population and took the result to a regulator.
U
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| "Used in animals for years" (safety inference) | This compound has been used in animals for years, therefore it is safe in humans | ❌ | 31 |
This rating attaches to the inference, not to any molecule — which is why the veterinary GnRH row under G is ✅. Veterinary evidence is not weak evidence; it is evidence about a different claim.
V
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venom-derived peptides | Are a productive source of drug leads | ✅ | 35 |
| Vericiguat | Reduces cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization in adults with reduced ejection fraction and a recent worsening heart failure event | ✅ | 28 |
W
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weight stigma reduction | Effective pharmacological treatment of obesity will reduce weight stigma at the population level in high-adoption countries, measured by validated weight-bias instruments | NOT RATED — see §A.6 | 44 |
Z
| Compound | Claim (population and endpoint) | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ziconotide | Administered intrathecally, produces clinically meaningful analgesia in adults with severe chronic pain for whom other therapies, including intrathecal morphine, are inadequate or intolerable | ✅ | 20 |
Note the route in that claim. This ✅ is intrathecal-only and cannot be inherited by any oral, transdermal, or subcutaneous product invoking "cone snail peptide" technology.
A.5 Claim-form ratings
The book rates fourteen claim forms — sentences rather than substances. These are kept separate from the master table on purpose, so that a reader scanning for a compound does not have to filter them out.
They are also, entry for entry, the most reusable material in this appendix. A rating on tesamorelin helps you exactly once, when someone mentions tesamorelin. A rating on "it's approved in another country, so the evidence is there" helps you every time anyone says it about anything, which will be often, about compounds that do not exist yet. Learn these fourteen and you can dispose of a large fraction of the claims you will meet without researching the molecule at all — because the defect is in the sentence's construction, not in the compound's data.
| Claim form | Rating | Ch |
|---|---|---|
| "This modification makes the peptide more effective." | ❌ as usually stated | 33 |
| "99% purity" establishes that a vial contains 99% of the labeled peptide by mass. | ❌ | 34 |
| "Third-party tested" establishes that a product is what its label says. | ❌ | 34 |
| Independent testing can make a gray-market product equivalent to a pharmaceutical one. | ❌ | 34 |
| "AI has revolutionized drug discovery." | ⚠️ as usually stated | 35 |
| "The next generation will be far better than what exists now." | ❌ as usually stated | 36 |
| "It's not FDA approved, which means it's being suppressed." | ❌ | 38 |
| "It isn't on the banned list." | ❌ | 38 |
| "It's approved in [another country], so the evidence is there." | ❌ as usually stated | 38 |
| "It's FDA approved, so it's safe and effective." | ❌ as usually stated | 38 |
| "Disclosing all substance use to a treating clinician improves care." | ✅ | 39 |
| "My doctor had never heard of it, so it must be cutting edge." | ❌ | 39 |
| "My doctor prescribed it, so it must be well supported." | ❌ | 39 |
| "Medical supervision reduces the risk of using an unapproved compound." | ⚠️ | 39 |
Three points about this table that are easy to miss.
Not every claim form is ❌. Two are ⚠️ and one is ✅. That matters, because a reader who concludes that "rated claim forms are the bad ones" has learned a superstition rather than a method. Disclosing substance use to a treating clinician earns a ✅ on structural grounds — differential diagnosis, interaction checking, monitoring, and perioperative assessment each take a medication history as an input and produce a wrong output when the input is incomplete. Medical supervision earns ⚠️ rather than ✅ because its direction is sound and its magnitude is unquantified, and because it adds no evidence whatsoever about whether the supervised compound works.
Several closely related claim forms are rated inside the molecule chapters and therefore appear in §A.4 at their alphabetical positions rather than here: "pharmaceutical grade" and the "98% purity by HPLC" certificate (both under P), "third-party tested" as rated in Chapter 19 and "this peptide is a nootropic" (under T and N), "nobody has reported problems" (under N), "used in animals for years" (under U), and "immune modulation" (under I). Two of these — purity and third-party testing — are rated twice, in two different chapters, from two different angles. The duplication is not an error; it is two chapters finding the same sentence wanting for different reasons.
The fix for a bad claim form is never to upgrade it. It is to replace it with a specific claim that can be checked — name the compound, the population, the endpoint, and the comparator — and then rate that. Every one of the ❌ entries above becomes rateable, and might land anywhere on the scale, the moment somebody supplies the missing specifics.
A.6 NOT RATED
Four claims in this book carry no tier at all, and none of them is an oversight.
| Claim | Why the system declines | Ch |
|---|---|---|
| Public figures have an ethical obligation to disclose their use of GLP-1 receptor agonists. | An "ought" claim. Obligations are not the kind of thing a trial detects. | 41 |
| Enhancement is inevitable. | A prediction about aggregate future human behavior, not a claim about a population and an endpoint. No study design bears on it. | 43 |
| Effective pharmacological treatment of obesity will reduce weight stigma at the population level in high-adoption countries, measured by validated weight-bias instruments. | Two well-supported mechanisms, operating through the same psychological variable, predict opposite outcomes, and the available evidence cannot say which will dominate. Any tier would launder a coin flip as an assessment. | 44 |
| Society should treat obesity primarily as a medical condition to be pharmacologically managed, rather than primarily as a product of a food environment to be structurally changed. | A values question. The load-bearing word is "primarily." | 44 |
The last one is the clearest case and the book closes on it deliberately.
It is a values question, not an empirical one. The rating system evaluates claims of the form X does Y in population Z, which evidence can settle. This claim has empirical components — how much of the population-level effect is environmental, how effective each approach is — and those can be rated, and are, elsewhere in this book. But the load-bearing word is "primarily," and it encodes a judgment about how a society allocates attention and resources between two approaches that are not mutually exclusive. No trial resolves that. A study showing structural interventions work does not establish that pharmacological ones should be deprioritized, or the reverse.
Rating it ❌ would be a category error. It would say the evidence does not support it, when the correct statement is evidence is not the relevant instrument. Rating it ⚠️ or 🔬 would be worse: it would imply a study is pending that might settle the matter, and none is, because none could be designed.
A refusal to rate is not a fifth tier. It is a statement about the kind of claim you are holding, made before any tier applies. The four tiers describe how much is known about an empirical question. NOT RATED says the question is not empirical, which is a different axis entirely — and reading it as a low score, or as a diplomatic ⚠️, misses the whole point of writing it down.
Now notice where these four sit. All of them are in Part VIII — the part of the book that turns from molecules to society, and rates claims about language, media, sport, work, food systems, and stigma. Every molecule claim in Part I through Part VII got a tier. The refusals appear only, and all together, at the point where the questions stop being about what a compound does in a population and start being about what a society should do.
That is a rating system behaving correctly. An instrument with a domain and no sense of its own edges is worse than no instrument, because it returns confident output on inputs it cannot read. These four rows are the system saying this is where I stop — and saying it out loud, in the same table, in the same format, next to the compounds it can assess. The boundary is part of the tool.
Why the category exists in a reference table at all. Because the most common way a moral or political position gets past a careful reader is by wearing an empirical costume. "Public figures should disclose" is a values claim and is not rated. "Disclosure by public figures reduces harmful weight-control behavior in their audiences" is an empirical claim about a population and an endpoint, and it would be rated. The two sentences get used interchangeably in argument, and they are not interchangeable. When you meet a claim, the first question is not whether it is true. It is what kind of claim it is.
Knowing when your own method does not apply is part of the method.
A.7 The distribution, and what it actually shows
154 RATINGS
------------------------------------------------------------
✅ strong clinical evidence .................... 54
⚠️ promising but preliminary ................... 26
❌ hype outpaces evidence ...................... 50
🔬 frontier — too soon to rate ................. 10
/ split ratings (two tiers, one claim) ........ 10
NOT RATED (outside the system's domain) ..... 4
------------------------------------------------------------
by kind: 140 molecule / indication 14 claim form
Read the first and third lines against each other before anything else. More claims in this book are well supported than unsupported — 54 ✅ against 50 ❌.
Take the consequence immediately: this is not a debunking book. Fifty-four claims examined here are well supported, and if you add the twenty-six ⚠️ entries — most of which describe real human data that has not yet settled a question — plus the supported halves of the ten splits, considerably more of what this book looked at turned out to be substantiated than turned out to be empty. Anyone who finishes a book about peptides believing that peptides are mostly nonsense has read a different book. The category contains insulin, oxytocin, desmopressin, icatibant, the GnRH agonists, the somatostatin analogs, ziconotide, the natriuretic-pathway drugs that worked, and the incretin drugs, and it has contained most of them for decades.
But the margin is narrow, and the near-tie has structure. Fifty-four against fifty is not the book concluding that the field is roughly a coin flip. It is two very different populations of claims that happen to be close to the same size.
Sort the ✅ rows by where they live and they cluster hard: the approved pharmacopeia and the metabolic chapters. Semaglutide and tirzepatide. Insulin and its analogs and the closed-loop systems. The oncology hormone-axis drugs and the radioligand therapies. The natriuretic-pathway drugs that worked. Teriparatide, desmopressin, glucagon, linaclotide, icatibant, ziconotide, colistin, daptomycin, botulinum toxin. Every one of them has a sponsor who paid for a trial program because there was an approval to win at the end of it.
Now sort the ❌ rows. They cluster just as hard, in a different place: compounds sold direct to consumers without a prescription. BPC-157. TB-500. The growth-hormone secretagogues sold for body composition. IGF-1 and follistatin for muscle. Melanotan II. Dihexa. The cosmetic peptide making a botulinum-toxin comparison. The supplements claiming to raise endogenous GLP-1. And clustered around them, the label claims — pharmaceutical grade, third-party tested, 98% purity, nobody has reported problems, used in animals for years — which exist because the products they describe were never put through anything that would generate a real credential.
That is not a fact about peptides. It is a fact about which peptides get studied, which is a fact about who pays for trials. A randomized controlled trial with a clinical endpoint costs a great deal of money and returns nothing to whoever funds it unless there is an exclusive product at the other end. A compound sold as a research chemical has no such product, no such exclusivity, and therefore no such trial — and it does not need one, because it is already selling. The incentive to generate evidence and the incentive to generate revenue point in the same direction for a drug company and in opposite directions for a gray-market supplier. The distribution above is what that asymmetry looks like after it has run for twenty years.
Three corollaries worth carrying.
First: the ❌ column is not a list of molecules that failed. Overwhelmingly it is a list of molecules that were never tested — the §A.3 distinction again, and the reason it leads this appendix. Some of those compounds may work. The claim that they do is unsupported today, and the reason it is unsupported is structural rather than scientific.
Second: the 🔬 column is small — ten entries — and it is where the honest uncertainty lives. GLP-1 agonists for addiction. Semaglutide in Alzheimer's. KPV and larazotide. Kisspeptin. Antimicrobial peptides as systemic antibiotics. Individualized neoantigen vaccines. De novo designed binders. Lean-mass preservation during weight loss. Peptide-drug conjugates as a platform. Whether widespread GLP-1 use changes what the packaged food industry sells. These are the questions where serious people are doing serious work and nobody yet knows. Most of them will end up ❌, and that is not a prediction about any particular one; it is the base rate. If this table is revised in a decade, the 🔬 rows are where most of the movement will have happened, in both directions.
Third: the four NOT RATED rows are not a rounding error, and they all sit in Part VIII. The system rated every molecule claim it met. It stopped at the questions about what a society should do — and stopping there, visibly, in the same table, is §A.6's point and the last thing this book asks you to take from its method.
A.8 Where to go next
Chapter 37 — the same ratings, grouped by therapeutic area, with the reasoning attached. If a row here surprised you, that is the chapter that explains it.
Chapter 5 — the method. How the tiers are assigned, what the six rules mean, and why a claim without a population and an endpoint cannot be rated at all. This is the durable part; the table above is the perishable part.
Appendix C — the dossier: how to assemble everything that is known about a single compound, in order, so that you can produce a rating for something this book never covered.
Appendix H — twenty worked evaluations, start to finish. If you want to see the method applied rather than described, that is where it happens.
Appendix F — red flags. The patterns that predict, before you have read a single study, that a claim is going to end up in the ❌ column.
And one last time, because it is the sentence this appendix exists to make unavoidable: the rating belongs to the claim, not to the molecule. Check the population. Check the endpoint. Then take the symbol.
Related: Chapter 5 (evaluating evidence) · Chapter 12 (compounding and access) · Chapter 17 (BPC-157) · Chapter 21 (oxytocin) · Chapter 28 (natriuretic peptides and surrogates) · Chapter 31 (veterinary inference) · Chapter 37 (the ratings by therapeutic area) · Chapter 38 (reading claims) · Chapter 44 (values questions and the limits of prediction) · Appendix C (the compound dossier) · Appendix E (approved peptide medicines) · Appendix F (red flags) · Appendix H (worked evaluations) · Appendix K (glossary)