Key Takeaways: Field Autopsy — Psychology

The Big Idea

Psychology experienced the most dramatic boom-bust cycle in modern social science — and responded with the most ambitious institutional self-correction. The replication crisis was produced by incentive structures that rewarded flashy-but-unreliable research; the correction was enabled by structural features (low switching cost, high alternative availability, junior researcher access) that other fields lack.

Psychology's Arc

Era Paradigm Failure Mode
1870s–1910s Introspection Unfalsifiability (different labs, different results)
1890s–1960s Psychoanalysis Unfalsifiability (any outcome confirms the theory)
1920s–1960s Behaviorism Overcorrection (ruling out mental processes entirely)
1950s–1980s Cognitive revolution Imported error (computer metaphor)
1980s–2010 Social psychology "golden age" Full failure mode stack (QRPs + publication bias + authority cascade)
2011–present Replication crisis + Open Science Genuine correction (in progress; overcorrection risk)

Why Social Psychology Was Uniquely Vulnerable

Small effects + noisy domains + narrative appeal + low methodological barriers + celebrity culture = maximum vulnerability to the failure mode stack

The Open Science Reforms

Pre-registration, registered reports, open data, large-scale collaborative replications, statistical reform — genuine correction that is spreading to other fields

The Meta-Lesson

If the field that studies cognitive bias exhibited those biases at institutional scale, no field is immune. Understanding bias does not protect against it. Only structural safeguards provide protection.

Unfinished Business

The incentive structure (publication count, journal prestige) remains unchanged. The WEIRD problem remains unaddressed. The revision myth is already forming.

Epistemic Audit — Chapter 25 Addition

Assess your field for: QRP equivalents, replication culture, Open Science equivalents, robust vs. fragile subfield distinction.

What's Coming Next

Chapter 26: Field Autopsy: Nutrition Science — the field that made everyone distrust science.