Chapter 1 Further Reading
Foundational Texts
Basketball on Paper
Author: Dean Oliver Year: 2004 Publisher: Potomac Books
The foundational text for basketball analytics. Oliver introduces possession-based analysis, the Four Factors framework, and player evaluation methods. Essential reading for anyone serious about the field.
Key Concepts: - Possession as the fundamental unit of basketball - Four Factors of basketball success - Individual offensive and defensive ratings - Statistical team analysis
Best For: Building conceptual foundations
Sprawlball: A Visual Tour of the New Era of the NBA
Author: Kirk Goldsberry Year: 2019 Publisher: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
Goldsberry combines data visualization with basketball analysis to explain how the game has changed. Beautifully illustrated shot charts and spatial analysis make complex concepts accessible.
Key Concepts: - The three-point revolution visualized - Shot selection evolution - Spatial efficiency - Player archetype changes
Best For: Visual learners and those interested in data visualization
The Midrange Theory
Author: Seth Partnow Year: 2021 Publisher: Triumph Books
A modern perspective on basketball analytics from a former NBA analyst. Partnow balances analytical rigor with practical application, addressing both what analytics can and cannot do.
Key Concepts: - Modern metric development - Front office decision-making - Limitations of analytics - Career insights
Best For: Understanding modern analytics practice
Academic Papers
"A Starting Point for Analyzing Basketball Statistics"
Author: Dan Rosenbaum Year: 2004 Publication: Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports
One of the first rigorous applications of adjusted plus-minus to basketball. Rosenbaum's methodology influenced all subsequent player impact metrics.
Access: Available through academic databases
"Counterpoints: Advanced Defensive Metrics for NBA Basketball"
Authors: Franks et al. Year: 2015 Publication: MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference
Demonstrates how tracking data can measure defensive contribution beyond traditional box score statistics.
Access: Available at Sloan Sports Analytics Conference website
"Expected Possession Value"
Authors: Cervone et al. Year: 2016 Publication: Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports
Introduces EPV, a framework for real-time game valuation using tracking data. Foundational for modern spatial analysis.
Access: Available through academic databases
Websites and Blogs
Basketball Reference
URL: basketball-reference.com
The most comprehensive public source for NBA statistics. Essential for any basketball analytics work.
Key Features: - Historical statistics back to 1946 - Advanced metrics - Play-by-play logs - Shot charts
Cleaning the Glass
URL: cleaningtheglass.com
Premium analytics site with league-wide and team-level statistics. Known for thoughtful analysis and clean data presentation.
Key Features: - Luck-adjusted standings - Lineup data - Shot location analysis - Subscription model for full access
Thinking Basketball
URL: YouTube channel and thinkingbasketball.net
Ben Taylor's work combines film analysis with statistical analysis. Excellent for understanding how numbers connect to on-court play.
Key Features: - Video essay format - Historical player analysis - Backpicks metric development
FiveThirtyEight (Sports Section)
URL: fivethirtyeight.com/sports
ESPN-owned site with rigorous sports analytics. CARMELO and RAPTOR player projections are notable contributions.
Key Features: - Player projections - Game predictions - Methodology transparency
Industry Resources
MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference
URL: sloansportsconference.com
The premier academic conference for sports analytics. Papers and presentations cover cutting-edge research.
Best For: Academic rigor and new methodologies
The Athletic (Basketball Coverage)
URL: theathletic.com
Subscription sports journalism with strong analytics coverage. Writers like Seth Partnow, John Hollinger, and Sam Vecenie provide analytical perspectives.
Best For: Current applications of analytics to NBA coverage
Podcasts
Thinking Basketball Podcast
Host: Ben Taylor
Deep dives into player evaluation, historical comparison, and metric development.
The Lowe Post
Host: Zach Lowe
ESPN's Zach Lowe interviews coaches, executives, and analysts. Blends basketball strategy with analytical thinking.
Nerd Sesh
Hosts: Various
Technical discussions of basketball analytics methodology. More advanced content for those with statistical background.
Online Courses
Sports Analytics Specialization (Coursera)
Provider: University of Michigan
Comprehensive introduction to sports analytics with basketball examples. Covers statistics, machine learning, and practical applications.
Basketball Analytics (edX)
Provider: University of Texas at Austin
Focused specifically on basketball analytics with hands-on coding exercises.
Python Resources
nba_api Documentation
URL: github.com/swar/nba_api
Documentation for the Python package that accesses official NBA statistics. Essential for data collection.
Basketball Reference Scraping Guide
Various Authors
Multiple tutorials exist for scraping Basketball Reference data. Search for current guides as website structure may change.
Historical Context
The Book of Basketball
Author: Bill Simmons Year: 2009
While not analytically focused, Simmons' comprehensive history provides context for understanding how basketball has evolved.
Moneyball
Author: Michael Lewis Year: 2003
Though focused on baseball, Moneyball popularized sports analytics and influenced how basketball teams approach data-driven decision-making.
Recommended Reading Order
For Beginners
- Basketball on Paper (Oliver) - Foundational concepts
- Sprawlball (Goldsberry) - Visual understanding
- Basketball Reference tutorials - Data familiarity
- The Midrange Theory (Partnow) - Modern applications
For Those with Statistical Background
- Rosenbaum's APM paper - Methodological foundations
- Basketball on Paper (Oliver) - Domain knowledge
- MIT Sloan papers - Cutting-edge methods
- The Midrange Theory (Partnow) - Practical applications
For Programmers
- nba_api documentation - Data access
- Basketball on Paper (Oliver) - What to analyze
- Kaggle basketball competitions - Practical experience
- MIT Sloan papers - Advanced methods
Staying Current
Basketball analytics is a rapidly evolving field. To stay current:
- Follow analysts on Twitter/X: Many share insights and methodologies
- Read The Athletic and ESPN analytics coverage: Current applications
- Attend/watch Sloan Conference: Annual research updates
- Join analytics communities: Reddit r/nbadiscussion, Discord servers
This reading list is not exhaustive. The field continues to evolve, and new resources emerge regularly.